KNVB Cup predictions
Upcoming KNVB Cup ties with kickoff times in ET and UK time, a model estimate where both clubs play in leagues we track, and the results of this season. Updated automatically.
Free picks every day on Telegram. Our picks are posted on the Winner364 channel before kickoff, and every result stays public here.
Join the free channelKey facts
- 68 matches played this season, 3.79 goals per game
- Home wins 43% · draws 13% · away wins 44% of 68 games
- Both teams scored in 54% of matches · over 2.5 goals in 69%
- 13 ties went to extra time or penalties
- Most goals in one match: TOGB 4-6 ROHDA Raalte (Sep 23, 2026)
- Next match: Tuesday, December 1, RKC Waalwijk vs Cambuur
Upcoming KNVB Cup matches
Tuesday, December 1
| Kickoff (ET) | UK time | Match | Round | Model 1 / X / 2 | Most likely score | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:45 PM ET | 17:45 UK | RKC Waalwijk vs Cambuur | Second round | No estimate | — | Our pick on Telegram |
| 2:00 PM ET | 19:00 UK | AFC vs Purmersteijn | Second round | No estimate | — | Our pick on Telegram |
| 2:00 PM ET | 19:00 UK | Almere City vs VVSB | Second round | No estimate | — | Our pick on Telegram |
| 2:00 PM ET | 19:00 UK | NAC Breda vs Genemuiden | Second round | No estimate | — | Our pick on Telegram |
| 2:00 PM ET | 19:00 UK | Willem II vs Excelsior | Second round | 25% / 21% / 54% | 1-2 (9%) | Our pick on Telegram |
| 3:00 PM ET | 20:00 UK | Go Ahead Eagles vs TOP Oss | Second round | No estimate | — | Our pick on Telegram |
Model 1 / X / 2: the model’s chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. No estimate: one of the clubs plays outside the leagues we track, so the model does not guess.
Latest KNVB Cup results
| Date | Match | Score | Round |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | Groningen vs Emmen | 0-2 | First round |
| Oct 29, 2026 | RKAV Volendam vs ROHDA Raalte | 3-0 | First round |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Purmersteijn vs Gemert | 2-0 aet | First round |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk | 4-2 | First round |
| Oct 29, 2026 | GVVV vs Noordwijk | 3-0 | First round |
| Oct 29, 2026 | De Treffers vs Heracles Almelo | 1-0 | First round |
| Oct 29, 2026 | ACV vs AFC | 1-2 aet | First round |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Kozakken Boys vs Utrecht | 0-1 | First round |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen | 0-2 | First round |
| Oct 28, 2026 | VVV-Venlo vs Vitesse | 0-2 | First round |
| Oct 28, 2026 | VVSB vs EVV | 4-0 | First round |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Quick Boys vs Eemdijk | 4-0 | First round |
| Oct 28, 2026 | PEC Zwolle vs TOP Oss | 1-2 | First round |
| Oct 28, 2026 | MVV Maastricht vs Excelsior | 0-3 | First round |
| Oct 28, 2026 | JOS Watergraafsmeer vs NAC Breda | 1-3 | First round |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Genemuiden vs Dordrecht | 3-2 | First round |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard | 2-2 pens 2-3 | First round |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC vs Go Ahead Eagles | 0-5 | First round |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Telstar vs Almere City | 0-2 | First round |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Roda JC vs De Graafschap | 1-0 | First round |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Rijnsburgse Boys vs Den Bosch | 3-5 | First round |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Kloetinge vs Cambuur | 0-2 | First round |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Helmond Sport vs Willem II | 3-4 | First round |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Eindhoven vs Volendam | 5-3 | First round |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Barendrecht vs RKC Waalwijk | 2-2 pens 1-4 | First round |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag | 1-1 pens 6-5 | First round |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Zwaluwen vs Purmersteijn | 0-1 | Preliminary round |
| Sep 23, 2026 | TOGB vs ROHDA Raalte | 4-6 | Preliminary round |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sparta Nijkerk vs UDI '19 | 3-1 | Preliminary round |
| Sep 23, 2026 | JOS Watergraafsmeer vs TEC | 4-4 pens 4-3 | Preliminary round |
Scores after extra time where a tie went to extra time.
How the model estimates work
Each club’s goals scored and conceded in its last league games, compared with its league average at home and away, give the expected goals; a Poisson distribution turns them into the chances above.
For clubs from different leagues the model adds a league strength, fitted on 426 cross-league games of the European cups and the domestic cups: strongest in this fit are the Premier League, Serie A, Bundesliga.
The model knows nothing about injuries, rotation, team news or motivation, and clubs outside our league files get no estimate. It is a starting point, not a pick.
Our KNVB Cup picks
Our picks are posted on the free Telegram channel before kickoff. The model above is only the numbers; our tipsters add team news and the price.
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About these numbers
Source: the KNVB Cup season pages on Wikipedia (open data, CC BY-SA), checked automatically. Club strength: league results from football-data.co.uk. Past results do not predict future results.
21+ (18+ where the legal age is 18). Model estimates and statistics are information, not a promise of any result. Bet only what you can afford to lose. Problem gambling help: 1-800-GAMBLER.
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