Copa del Rey predictions
Upcoming Copa del Rey ties with kickoff times in ET and UK time, a model estimate where both clubs play in leagues we track, and the results of this season. Updated automatically.
Free picks every day on Telegram. Our picks are posted on the Winner364 channel before kickoff, and every result stays public here.
Join the free channelKey facts
- 66 matches played this season, 3.50 goals per game
- Home wins 26% · draws 12% · away wins 62% of 66 games
- Both teams scored in 45% of matches · over 2.5 goals in 67%
- 14 ties went to extra time or penalties
- Most goals in one match: Pinatar 8-0 Atlético Melilla (Sep 26, 2026)
- Next match: Thursday, November 12, Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete
Upcoming Copa del Rey matches
Thursday, November 12
| Kickoff (ET) | UK time | Match | Round | Model 1 / X / 2 | Most likely score | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 PM ET | 17:30 UK | Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete | First round | No estimate | — | Our pick on Telegram |
| 1:00 PM ET | 18:00 UK | Navalcarnero vs Real Betis | First round | No estimate | — | Our pick on Telegram |
| 1:00 PM ET | 18:00 UK | Tarancón vs Levante | First round | No estimate | — | Our pick on Telegram |
Friday, November 13
| Kickoff (ET) | UK time | Match | Round | Model 1 / X / 2 | Most likely score | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3:00 PM ET | 20:00 UK | Salamanca vs Celta Vigo | First round | No estimate | — | Our pick on Telegram |
Wednesday, November 18
| Kickoff (ET) | UK time | Match | Round | Model 1 / X / 2 | Most likely score | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1:00 PM ET | 18:00 UK | Portugalete vs Real Unión | First round | No estimate | — | Our pick on Telegram |
| 1:00 PM ET | 18:00 UK | Utebo vs Sabadell | First round | No estimate | — | Our pick on Telegram |
| 2:00 PM ET | 19:00 UK | Alcoyano vs Mallorca | First round | No estimate | — | Our pick on Telegram |
| 2:00 PM ET | 19:00 UK | Badajoz vs Tenerife | First round | No estimate | — | Our pick on Telegram |
| 2:30 PM ET | 19:30 UK | Minera vs Cartagena | First round | No estimate | — | Our pick on Telegram |
| 2:30 PM ET | 19:30 UK | Reus FCR vs Barakaldo | First round | No estimate | — | Our pick on Telegram |
Model 1 / X / 2: the model’s chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. No estimate: one of the clubs plays outside the leagues we track, so the model does not guess.
Latest Copa del Rey results
| Date | Match | Score | Round |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026 | Tavernes de la Valldigna vs Valencia | 0-6 | First round |
| Nov 10, 2026 | Trival Valderas vs Leganes | 0-1 | First round |
| Nov 10, 2026 | Mijas-Las Lagunas vs Jaén | 1-2 | First round |
| Nov 10, 2026 | Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés | 1-0 | First round |
| Nov 10, 2026 | Pamplona vs Eibar | 0-3 | First round |
| Nov 10, 2026 | Anaitasuna vs Alaves | 1-6 | First round |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Xerez vs Cadiz | 1-3 | First round |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Sporting Hortaleza vs Sevilla | 0-3 | First round |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Ribadesella vs Racing Santander | 0-2 | First round |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Prat vs Athletic Bilbao | 1-6 | First round |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Auriense vs Deportivo A Coruña | 0-3 | First round |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Gimnástica Torrelavega vs UD Ourense | 3-1 aet | First round |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Ávila vs Unionistas | 1-0 aet | First round |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Varea vs Andorra | 0-3 | First round |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Laredo vs Burgos | 2-4 | First round |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijón | 1-3 | First round |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Covadonga vs Valladolid | 0-1 | First round |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Conquense vs Castellon | 0-3 | First round |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Antequera vs Águilas | 2-0 | First round |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Cieza vs Granada | 0-3 | First round |
| Oct 29, 2026 | San Sebastián de los Reyes vs Coria | 1-2 aet | First round |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Poblense vs Ceuta | 1-2 | First round |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Lebrijana vs Getafe | 2-3 | First round |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Coruxo vs Zamora | 0-2 | First round |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Atlético Calatayud vs Osasuna | 0-6 | First round |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Atlético Baleares vs Eldense | 0-1 | First round |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Peña Sport vs Huesca | 1-5 | First round |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Numancia vs Oviedo | 3-3 pens 4-2 | First round |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Tudelano vs Zaragoza | 0-4 | First round |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Sporting de Alcázar vs Malaga | 0-3 | First round |
Scores after extra time where a tie went to extra time.
How the model estimates work
Each club’s goals scored and conceded in its last league games, compared with its league average at home and away, give the expected goals; a Poisson distribution turns them into the chances above.
For clubs from different leagues the model adds a league strength, fitted on 426 cross-league games of the European cups and the domestic cups: strongest in this fit are the Premier League, Serie A, Bundesliga.
The model knows nothing about injuries, rotation, team news or motivation, and clubs outside our league files get no estimate. It is a starting point, not a pick.
Our Copa del Rey picks
Our picks are posted on the free Telegram channel before kickoff. The model above is only the numbers; our tipsters add team news and the price.
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About these numbers
Source: the Copa del Rey season pages on Wikipedia (open data, CC BY-SA), checked automatically. Club strength: league results from football-data.co.uk. Past results do not predict future results.
21+ (18+ where the legal age is 18). Model estimates and statistics are information, not a promise of any result. Bet only what you can afford to lose. Problem gambling help: 1-800-GAMBLER.
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