Coppa Italia predictions
Upcoming Coppa Italia ties with kickoff times in ET and UK time, a model estimate where both clubs play in leagues we track, and the results of this season. Updated automatically.
Free picks every day on Telegram. Our picks are posted on the Winner364 channel before kickoff, and every result stays public here.
Join the free channelKey facts
- 28 matches played this season, 3.04 goals per game
- Home wins 68% · draws 18% · away wins 14% of 28 games
- Both teams scored in 50% of matches · over 2.5 goals in 50%
- 5 ties went to extra time or penalties
- Most goals in one match: Benevento 5-3 Ravenna (Aug 9, 2026)
- Next match: Tuesday, December 1, Inter Milan vs Genoa
Upcoming Coppa Italia matches
Tuesday, December 1
| Kickoff (ET) | UK time | Match | Round | Model 1 / X / 2 | Most likely score | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3:00 PM ET | 20:00 UK | Inter Milan vs Genoa | Round of 16 | 68% / 18% / 14% | 2-0 (11%) | Our pick on Telegram |
Model 1 / X / 2: the model’s chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. No estimate: one of the clubs plays outside the leagues we track, so the model does not guess.
Latest Coppa Italia results
| Date | Match | Score | Round |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | Fiorentina vs Pisa | 3-0 | Second round |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Genoa vs Sudtirol | 1-0 | Second round |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Cagliari vs Hellas Verona | 1-2 | Second round |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Palermo vs Mantova | 5-2 | Second round |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Udinese vs Venezia | 2-1 | Second round |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Sassuolo vs Frosinone | 1-1 pens 4-3 | Second round |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Torino vs Monza | 0-1 | Second round |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Parma vs Cremonese | 0-2 | Second round |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Palermo vs Lecce | 2-0 | First round |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Cremonese vs Sampdoria | 2-0 | First round |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Sassuolo vs Cesena | 3-0 | First round |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Pisa vs Empoli | 1-1 pens 4-3 | First round |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lazio vs Mantova | 0-2 | First round |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hellas Verona vs Virtus Entella | 2-2 pens 3-2 | First round |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Genoa vs Ascoli | 4-1 | First round |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Frosinone vs Juve Stabia | 4-1 | First round |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Torino vs Carrarese | 1-0 | First round |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Venezia vs Modena | 3-2 | First round |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Udinese vs Padova | 1-0 | First round |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Catanzaro vs Sudtirol | 2-2 pens 3-4 | First round |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Fiorentina vs Benevento | 4-1 | First round |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Monza vs Avellino | 3-0 | First round |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cagliari vs Arezzo | 1-0 | First round |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Parma vs Catania | 2-0 | First round |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Benevento vs Ravenna | 5-3 | Preliminary round |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Arezzo vs Union Brescia | 2-0 | Preliminary round |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ascoli vs Potenza | 3-1 | Preliminary round |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vicenza vs Catania | 1-1 pens 3-4 | Preliminary round |
Scores after extra time where a tie went to extra time.
How the model estimates work
Each club’s goals scored and conceded in its last league games, compared with its league average at home and away, give the expected goals; a Poisson distribution turns them into the chances above.
For clubs from different leagues the model adds a league strength, fitted on 426 cross-league games of the European cups and the domestic cups: strongest in this fit are the Premier League, Serie A, Bundesliga.
The model knows nothing about injuries, rotation, team news or motivation, and clubs outside our league files get no estimate. It is a starting point, not a pick.
Our Coppa Italia picks
Our picks are posted on the free Telegram channel before kickoff. The model above is only the numbers; our tipsters add team news and the price.
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About these numbers
Source: the Coppa Italia season pages on Wikipedia (open data, CC BY-SA), checked automatically. Club strength: league results from football-data.co.uk. Past results do not predict future results.
21+ (18+ where the legal age is 18). Model estimates and statistics are information, not a promise of any result. Bet only what you can afford to lose. Problem gambling help: 1-800-GAMBLER.
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