Europa League predictions
Upcoming Europa League matches with kickoff times in ET and UK time, a model estimate for every match where both clubs play in leagues we track, the league phase table and the latest results. Updated automatically.
Free picks every day on Telegram. Our picks are posted on the Winner364 channel before kickoff, and every result stays public here.
Join the free channelKey facts
- 72 matches played this season, 2.97 goals per game
- Home wins 39% · draws 17% · away wins 44% of 72 games
- Both teams scored in 53% of matches · over 2.5 goals in 62%
- Most goals in one match: Lillestrom 0-6 Real Sociedad (Oct 22, 2026)
- Next match: Thursday, November 26, Besiktas vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Upcoming Europa League matches
Thursday, November 26
| Kickoff (ET) | UK time | Match | Round | Model 1 / X / 2 | Most likely score | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:45 PM ET | 17:45 UK | Besiktas vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva | Matchday 5 | No estimate | — | Our pick on Telegram |
| 12:45 PM ET | 17:45 UK | Celta Vigo vs Bournemouth | Matchday 5 | 20% / 25% / 55% | 0-1 (14%) | Our pick on Telegram |
| 12:45 PM ET | 17:45 UK | Dinamo Zagreb vs Bayer Leverkusen | Matchday 5 | No estimate | — | Our pick on Telegram |
| 12:45 PM ET | 17:45 UK | Marseille vs Levski Sofia | Matchday 5 | No estimate | — | Our pick on Telegram |
| 12:45 PM ET | 17:45 UK | Olympiakos vs AC Milan | Matchday 5 | 42% / 27% / 31% | 1-1 (13%) | Our pick on Telegram |
| 12:45 PM ET | 17:45 UK | Salzburg vs Ararat-Armenia | Matchday 5 | No estimate | — | Our pick on Telegram |
| 12:45 PM ET | 17:45 UK | St. Gilloise vs Lech Poznań | Matchday 5 | No estimate | — | Our pick on Telegram |
| 12:45 PM ET | 17:45 UK | Viktoria Plzeň vs Benfica | Matchday 5 | No estimate | — | Our pick on Telegram |
| 3:00 PM ET | 20:00 UK | Crystal Palace vs Real Sociedad | Matchday 5 | 55% / 21% / 24% | 2-1 (9%) | Our pick on Telegram |
| 3:00 PM ET | 20:00 UK | Ferencváros vs Celje | Matchday 5 | No estimate | — | Our pick on Telegram |
| 3:00 PM ET | 20:00 UK | Juventus vs Omonia | Matchday 5 | No estimate | — | Our pick on Telegram |
| 3:00 PM ET | 20:00 UK | Lyon vs Lillestrom | Matchday 5 | 72% / 17% / 11% | 2-0 (12%) | Our pick on Telegram |
| 3:00 PM ET | 20:00 UK | NEC Nijmegen vs Rennes | Matchday 5 | 29% / 21% / 49% | 1-2 (9%) | Our pick on Telegram |
| 3:00 PM ET | 20:00 UK | OFI vs Anderlecht | Matchday 5 | No estimate | — | Our pick on Telegram |
| 3:00 PM ET | 20:00 UK | Sparta Prague vs AZ Alkmaar | Matchday 5 | No estimate | — | Our pick on Telegram |
| 3:00 PM ET | 20:00 UK | Sunderland vs Jagiellonia Białystok | Matchday 5 | No estimate | — | Our pick on Telegram |
| 3:00 PM ET | 20:00 UK | Hoffenheim vs Sturm Graz | Matchday 5 | 65% / 19% / 17% | 2-1 (10%) | Our pick on Telegram |
| 3:00 PM ET | 20:00 UK | Torreense vs Celtic | Matchday 5 | No estimate | — | Our pick on Telegram |
Model 1 / X / 2: the model’s chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. No estimate: one of the clubs plays outside the leagues we track, so the model does not guess.
Europa League league phase table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13-3 | +10 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 | Bournemouth | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11-2 | +9 | 12 | WWWW |
| 3 | Ferencváros | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11-3 | +8 | 12 | WWWW |
| 4 | St. Gilloise | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10-2 | +8 | 10 | WDWW |
| 5 | Juventus | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11-4 | +7 | 10 | WWDW |
| 6 | Olympiakos | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4-1 | +3 | 10 | WWWD |
| 7 | Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8-1 | +7 | 9 | WWWL |
| 8 | Besiktas | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11-8 | +3 | 7 | WWDL |
| 9 | Dinamo Zagreb | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5-4 | +1 | 7 | DWLW |
| 10 | Levski Sofia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4-3 | +1 | 7 | LDWW |
| 11 | Sunderland | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4-4 | +0 | 7 | WWDL |
| 12 | NEC Nijmegen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8-9 | -1 | 7 | LDWW |
| 13 | Lyon | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6-7 | -1 | 7 | WWLD |
| 14 | AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7-4 | +3 | 6 | LWWL |
| 15 | Anderlecht | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6-3 | +3 | 6 | LLWW |
| 16 | OFI | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5-4 | +1 | 6 | WLLW |
| 17 | Rennes | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4-3 | +1 | 6 | DWDD |
| 18 | Omonia | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6-7 | -1 | 6 | WWLL |
| 19 | Torreense | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7-9 | -2 | 6 | WLLW |
| 20 | Real Sociedad | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9-4 | +5 | 5 | LDWD |
| 21 | Crystal Palace | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9-6 | +3 | 5 | WLDD |
| 22 | Sparta Prague | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6-6 | +0 | 4 | WDLL |
| 23 | Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6-6 | +0 | 4 | LLWD |
| 24 | Sturm Graz | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3-6 | -3 | 4 | DLWL |
| 25 | Celje | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5-9 | -4 | 4 | LLDW |
| 26 | Salzburg | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3-8 | -5 | 4 | WLDL |
| 27 | Celta Vigo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4-6 | -2 | 3 | LLWL |
| 28 | AC Milan | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4-7 | -3 | 3 | LWLL |
| 29 | Jagiellonia Białystok | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4-7 | -3 | 3 | LWLL |
| 30 | Viktoria Plzeň | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3-7 | -4 | 3 | LLLW |
| 31 | Marseille | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2-6 | -4 | 3 | LLLW |
| 32 | Celtic | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6-11 | -5 | 3 | LLLW |
| 33 | Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1-8 | -7 | 1 | DLLL |
| 34 | Lillestrom | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2-10 | -8 | 1 | LDLL |
| 35 | Lech Poznań | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2-12 | -10 | 1 | LLDL |
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4-14 | -10 | 0 | LLLL |
Positions 1 to 8 go straight to the round of 16; 9 to 24 play the knockout play-offs. Order: points, goal difference, goals scored, away goals, wins; the official table uses further tie-breakers. Last 5: oldest first.
Latest Europa League results
| Date | Match | Score | Round |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia | 3-2 | Matchday 4 |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb | 0-2 | Matchday 4 |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Sturm Graz vs Celje | 2-3 | Matchday 4 |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs OFI | 0-2 | Matchday 4 |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Celtic vs Besiktas | 3-2 | Matchday 4 |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Celta Vigo vs St. Gilloise | 1-2 | Matchday 4 |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Benfica vs Lech Poznań | 3-1 | Matchday 4 |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille | 0-1 | Matchday 4 |
| Nov 5, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus | 1-2 | Matchday 4 |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Sparta Prague vs Bournemouth | 1-3 | Matchday 4 |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Real Sociedad vs Lyon | 1-1 | Matchday 4 |
| Nov 5, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia | 3-1 | Matchday 4 |
| Nov 5, 2026 | AC Milan vs Ferencváros | 0-2 | Matchday 4 |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Lillestrom vs Viktoria Plzeň | 0-1 | Matchday 4 |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Białystok | 1-0 | Matchday 4 |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Crystal Palace vs Hoffenheim | 1-1 | Matchday 4 |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Anderlecht vs Salzburg | 2-0 | Matchday 4 |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Rennes vs Olympiakos | 0-0 | Matchday 4 |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Viktoria Plzeň vs Levski Sofia | 1-2 | Matchday 3 |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Hoffenheim vs Lyon | 3-0 | Matchday 3 |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Omonia vs Benfica | 1-4 | Matchday 3 |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Olympiakos vs Sparta Prague | 1-0 | Matchday 3 |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad | 0-6 | Matchday 3 |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Jagiellonia Białystok vs Anderlecht | 0-3 | Matchday 3 |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Celtic vs Celta Vigo | 1-2 | Matchday 3 |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Celje vs Salzburg | 2-2 | Matchday 3 |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Bournemouth vs AC Milan | 3-0 | Matchday 3 |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Besiktas vs Crystal Palace | 2-2 | Matchday 3 |
| Oct 22, 2026 | St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 4-0 | Matchday 3 |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Sturm Graz vs Marseille | 1-0 | Matchday 3 |
Scores after extra time where a tie went to extra time.
Europa League clubs in our league data
- Salzburg (Austrian Bundesliga): 2 of 12 in the league, form DWWWW
- Sturm Graz (Austrian Bundesliga): 5 of 12 in the league, form WWDDL
- Anderlecht (Belgian Pro League): 5 of 18 in the league, form WWLWD
- St. Gilloise (Belgian Pro League): 1 of 18 in the league, form WDWWW
- Hoffenheim (Bundesliga): 9 of 18 in the league, form LWWLW
- Bayer Leverkusen (Bundesliga): 5 of 18 in the league, form WWLLW
- Lillestrom (Eliteserien): 4 of 16 in the league, form DWWWW
- AZ Alkmaar (Eredivisie): 5 of 18 in the league, form LDLLW
- NEC Nijmegen (Eredivisie): 11 of 18 in the league, form DDDLW
- Olympiakos (Greek Super League): 2 of 14 in the league, form WWWWD
- Celta Vigo (La Liga): 11 of 20 in the league, form DWDLD
- Real Sociedad (La Liga): 5 of 20 in the league, form WWWLW
- Benfica (Liga Portugal): 2 of 18 in the league, form LWWWW
- Lyon (Ligue 1): 5 of 18 in the league, form LWLWL
- Marseille (Ligue 1): 4 of 18 in the league, form WWWWW
- Rennes (Ligue 1): 8 of 18 in the league, form WLWLL
- Bournemouth (Premier League): 7 of 20 in the league, form LWWWW
- Crystal Palace (Premier League): 20 of 20 in the league, form WLLLL
- Sunderland (Premier League): 19 of 20 in the league, form LLDLW
- Celtic (Scottish Premiership): 1 of 12 in the league, form WWDLW
- Juventus (Serie A): 7 of 20 in the league, form LWLWD
- AC Milan (Serie A): 4 of 20 in the league, form WWLWW
- Besiktas (Super Lig): 4 of 18 in the league, form WLWDW
League position and the last five league results (oldest first) of every Europa League club from the leagues we track.
How the model estimates work
Each club’s goals scored and conceded in its last league games, compared with its league average at home and away, give the expected goals; a Poisson distribution turns them into the chances above.
For clubs from different leagues the model adds a league strength, fitted on 426 cross-league games of the European cups and the domestic cups: strongest in this fit are the Premier League, Serie A, Bundesliga.
The model knows nothing about injuries, rotation, team news or motivation, and clubs outside our league files get no estimate. It is a starting point, not a pick.
Our Europa League picks
Our picks are posted on the free Telegram channel before kickoff. The model above is only the numbers; our tipsters add team news and the price.
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About these numbers
Source: the UEFA Europa League season pages on Wikipedia (open data, CC BY-SA), checked automatically. Club strength: league results from football-data.co.uk. Past results do not predict future results.
21+ (18+ where the legal age is 18). Model estimates and statistics are information, not a promise of any result. Bet only what you can afford to lose. Problem gambling help: 1-800-GAMBLER.
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