FA Cup predictions
Upcoming FA Cup ties with kickoff times in ET and UK time, a model estimate where both clubs play in leagues we track, and the results of this season. Updated automatically.
Free picks every day on Telegram. Our picks are posted on the Winner364 channel before kickoff, and every result stays public here.
Join the free channelKey facts
- 40 matches played this season, 3.58 goals per game
- Home wins 62% · draws 5% · away wins 32% of 40 games
- Both teams scored in 45% of matches · over 2.5 goals in 70%
- 7 ties went to extra time or penalties
- Most goals in one match: Barnsley 7-2 Aldershot (Nov 7, 2026)
- Next match: Saturday, December 5, Fylde vs Luton
Upcoming FA Cup matches
Saturday, December 5
| Kickoff (ET) | UK time | Match | Round | Model 1 / X / 2 | Most likely score | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Time to be confirmed | — | Fylde vs Luton | Second round | 10% / 13% / 78% | 1-3 (8%) | Our pick on Telegram |
| Time to be confirmed | — | Barrow vs Kidderminster Harriers | Second round | No estimate | — | Our pick on Telegram |
| Time to be confirmed | — | Chesterfield vs Cheltenham | Second round | 61% / 19% / 19% | 2-1 (10%) | Our pick on Telegram |
| Time to be confirmed | — | Colchester vs Mansfield | Second round | 23% / 23% / 54% | 1-1 (11%) | Our pick on Telegram |
| Time to be confirmed | — | Crewe vs Plymouth | Second round | 22% / 22% / 57% | 1-1 (10%) | Our pick on Telegram |
| Time to be confirmed | — | Dover Athletic vs Leicester | Second round | No estimate | — | Our pick on Telegram |
| Time to be confirmed | — | Exeter vs Stevenage | Second round | 27% / 30% / 43% | 0-1 (16%) | Our pick on Telegram |
| Time to be confirmed | — | Grimsby vs Oldham | Second round | 61% / 21% / 18% | 2-1 (10%) | Our pick on Telegram |
| Time to be confirmed | — | Guiseley vs Notts County | Second round | No estimate | — | Our pick on Telegram |
| Time to be confirmed | — | Plymouth Parkway vs Barnet | Second round | No estimate | — | Our pick on Telegram |
| Time to be confirmed | — | Port Vale vs Leyton Orient | Second round | 32% / 26% / 42% | 1-1 (12%) | Our pick on Telegram |
| Time to be confirmed | — | Reading vs Stockport | Second round | 36% / 25% / 39% | 1-1 (12%) | Our pick on Telegram |
Model 1 / X / 2: the model’s chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. No estimate: one of the clubs plays outside the leagues we track, so the model does not guess.
Latest FA Cup results
| Date | Match | Score | Round |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway vs Berkhamsted | 2-1 aet | First round |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Oldham vs Sheffield Wednesday | 2-1 aet | First round |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town | 2-0 | First round |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Cray Wanderers vs Stockport | 2-3 aet | First round |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Stafford Rangers vs Grimsby | 3-3 pens 2-3 | First round |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Peterborough United vs Reading | 0-5 | First round |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Altrincham vs Notts County | 2-2 pens 2-3 | First round |
| Nov 7, 2026 | York vs Northampton | 4-0 | First round |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Salisbury vs Sholing | 6-0 | First round |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Port Vale vs Scunthorpe | 4-2 | First round |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Plymouth vs Alvechurch | 4-0 | First round |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Oxford vs Stevenage | 0-1 | First round |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Newport County vs Walsall | 3-1 | First round |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon | 2-1 | First round |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Mansfield vs Macclesfield | 3-0 | First round |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Luton vs Forest Green | 2-0 | First round |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Leyton Orient vs Harborough Town | 5-1 | First round |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers vs Doncaster | 3-0 | First round |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Huddersfield vs Exeter | 1-2 | First round |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Hornchurch vs Blackpool | 1-2 aet | First round |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Harrogate vs Fylde | 1-4 | First round |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Guiseley vs Sutton | 1-0 | First round |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Gillingham vs Barrow | 0-1 | First round |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale | 1-2 aet | First round |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Eastleigh vs Shrewsbury | 1-2 | First round |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Dover Athletic vs Wealdstone | 2-0 | First round |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon | 2-1 | First round |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Colchester vs Worcester City | 1-0 | First round |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Chesterfield vs Yeovil | 4-3 | First round |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Cheltenham vs Halifax | 2-0 | First round |
Scores after extra time where a tie went to extra time.
How the model estimates work
Each club’s goals scored and conceded in its last league games, compared with its league average at home and away, give the expected goals; a Poisson distribution turns them into the chances above.
For clubs from different leagues the model adds a league strength, fitted on 426 cross-league games of the European cups and the domestic cups: strongest in this fit are the Premier League, Serie A, Bundesliga.
The model knows nothing about injuries, rotation, team news or motivation, and clubs outside our league files get no estimate. It is a starting point, not a pick.
Our FA Cup picks
Our picks are posted on the free Telegram channel before kickoff. The model above is only the numbers; our tipsters add team news and the price.
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About these numbers
Source: the FA Cup season pages on Wikipedia (open data, CC BY-SA), checked automatically. Club strength: league results from football-data.co.uk. Past results do not predict future results.
21+ (18+ where the legal age is 18). Model estimates and statistics are information, not a promise of any result. Bet only what you can afford to lose. Problem gambling help: 1-800-GAMBLER.
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