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Carabao Cup 2026-27

Carabao Cup predictions

Upcoming Carabao Cup ties with kickoff times in ET and UK time, a model estimate where both clubs play in leagues we track, and the results of this season. Updated automatically.

Free picks every day on Telegram. Our picks are posted on the Winner364 channel before kickoff, and every result stays public here.

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Key facts

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Upcoming Carabao Cup matches

Tuesday, December 15

Kickoff (ET)UK timeMatchRoundModel 1 / X / 2Most likely scoreOur pick
3:00 PM ET20:00 UKManchester City vs BradfordQuarter-finals89% / 8% / 3%3-0 (14%)Our pick on Telegram

Wednesday, December 16

Kickoff (ET)UK timeMatchRoundModel 1 / X / 2Most likely scoreOur pick
2:30 PM ET19:30 UKCrystal Palace vs SunderlandQuarter-finals36% / 25% / 39%1-1 (12%)Our pick on Telegram
3:00 PM ET20:00 UKLiverpool vs BournemouthQuarter-finals41% / 25% / 34%1-1 (12%)Our pick on Telegram

Thursday, December 17

Kickoff (ET)UK timeMatchRoundModel 1 / X / 2Most likely scoreOur pick
3:00 PM ET20:00 UKFleetwood Town vs EvertonQuarter-finals4% / 8% / 88%0-3 (11%)Our pick on Telegram

Model 1 / X / 2: the model’s chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. No estimate: one of the clubs plays outside the leagues we track, so the model does not guess.

Latest Carabao Cup results

DateMatchScoreRound
Oct 29, 2026Everton vs Newcastle United3-1Fourth round
Oct 28, 2026Liverpool vs Chelsea1-1 pens 6-5Fourth round
Oct 28, 2026Sunderland vs Brentford3-2Fourth round
Oct 28, 2026Fulham vs Crystal Palace0-1Fourth round
Oct 28, 2026Bournemouth vs Aston Villa3-0Fourth round
Oct 28, 2026Manchester City vs Brighton2-2 pens 4-3Fourth round
Oct 27, 2026Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal1-1 pens 5-3Fourth round
Oct 27, 2026Bradford vs Peterborough United2-0Fourth round
Sep 17, 2026Manchester City vs Norwich5-0Third round
Sep 16, 2026Manchester United vs Brighton2-3Third round
Sep 16, 2026Coventry vs Aston Villa1-3Third round
Sep 16, 2026Fleetwood Town vs Sheffield United1-0Third round
Sep 16, 2026Everton vs Wolverhampton Wanderers1-0Third round
Sep 15, 2026Reading vs Brentford1-2Third round
Sep 15, 2026Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur3-1Third round
Sep 15, 2026Ipswich vs Arsenal2-4Third round
Sep 15, 2026West Ham United vs Fulham2-3Third round
Sep 15, 2026Peterborough United vs Barnsley3-3 pens 7-6Third round
Sep 9, 2026Chelsea vs Leeds6-3Third round
Sep 8, 2026Millwall vs Newcastle United0-1Third round
Sep 8, 2026Sunderland vs Hull1-0Third round
Sep 8, 2026Leyton Orient vs Bradford1-3Third round
Sep 8, 2026Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough3-0Third round
Sep 8, 2026Bournemouth vs Lincoln4-0Third round
Aug 27, 2026Fulham vs AFC Wimbledon3-0Second round
Aug 27, 2026Chelsea vs Luton2-0Second round
Aug 26, 2026Preston North End vs Everton0-4Second round
Aug 26, 2026Tottenham Hotspur vs Charlton5-1Second round
Aug 26, 2026Newcastle United vs West Bromwich Albion3-2Second round
Aug 26, 2026Bradford vs Burnley0-0 pens 4-2Second round

Scores after extra time where a tie went to extra time.

How the model estimates work

Each club’s goals scored and conceded in its last league games, compared with its league average at home and away, give the expected goals; a Poisson distribution turns them into the chances above.

For clubs from different leagues the model adds a league strength, fitted on 426 cross-league games of the European cups and the domestic cups: strongest in this fit are the Premier League, Serie A, Bundesliga.

The model knows nothing about injuries, rotation, team news or motivation, and clubs outside our league files get no estimate. It is a starting point, not a pick.

Our Carabao Cup picks

Our picks are posted on the free Telegram channel before kickoff. The model above is only the numbers; our tipsters add team news and the price.

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About these numbers

Source: the EFL Cup (Carabao Cup) season pages on Wikipedia (open data, CC BY-SA), checked automatically. Club strength: league results from football-data.co.uk. Past results do not predict future results.

21+ (18+ where the legal age is 18). Model estimates and statistics are information, not a promise of any result. Bet only what you can afford to lose. Problem gambling help: 1-800-GAMBLER.

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Winner364 in brief (updated Nov 11, 2026): free soccer and basketball tips with the market and odds on every pick, posted before kickoff on the Winner364 Telegram channel (t.me/winner364). Public record: 425 tips in the archive since Aug 21, 2026; 235 confirmed wins, 99 confirmed losses and 91 still unconfirmed. Latest wins: Inter W - Manchester City W (Both to score, odds 1.60) and AS Roma W - Servette Geneve FC W (Both to score, odds 1.70). VIP: every pick, £99 a month or £549 one time. 21+. Full record: winner364.com/results/.

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