Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente prediction, odds & stats
Kickoff 10:30 AM ET (7:30 AM PT). The Winner364 tip is posted on Telegram before kickoff; VIP members see every pick.
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Match: Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente, Liga Portugal
Kickoff: Sunday, November 8, 2026, 10:30 AM ET (7:30 AM PT)
Market view: Santa Clara 42% · draw 30% · Gil Vicente 28% (average odds 2.20 / 3.05 / 3.36, margin removed)
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Final score: Santa Clara 1-2 Gil Vicente
Form (last 5): Santa Clara WDWLW · Gil Vicente DWWLD
Get the tip on TelegramForm and goals
| Last league games | Santa Clara | Gil Vicente |
|---|---|---|
| Form (last 5, oldest first) | WDWLW | DWWLD |
| Goals scored per game (last 10 / 10) | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| Both teams scored | 4 of 10 | 3 of 10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 4 of 10 | 2 of 10 |
| Clean sheets | 6 of 10 | 5 of 10 |
| xG for / against per game | 1.25 / 0.92 | 1.17 / 0.93 |
Santa Clara at home this season: played 5, won 2, drew 2, lost 1, goals 8-4. Gil Vicente away: played 4, won 2, drew 1, lost 1, goals 4-4.
What the numbers say
- Santa Clara average 1.5 goals scored and 0.6 conceded over their last 10 league games; Gil Vicente average 0.8 and 0.7 over their last 10.
- Both teams scored in 4 of Santa Clara’s last 10 and in 3 of Gil Vicente’s last 10; over 2.5 goals landed in 4 and 2 of those games.
- Expected goals (xG) per game: Santa Clara 1.25 for and 0.92 against; Gil Vicente 1.17 for and 0.93 against.
- In their last 4 meetings in our data, both teams scored 1 times and 1 had over 2.5 goals.
Model estimate
Our statistical model expects 1.1 goals for Santa Clara and 0.8 for Gil Vicente. These are model estimates, not our pick.
| Outcome | Model estimate |
|---|---|
| Santa Clara win | 41% |
| Draw | 31% |
| Gil Vicente win | 28% |
| Both teams to score | 38% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 31% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (16%) |
| Next most likely scores | 0-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%) |
How the model works: each team’s goals scored and conceded in its last league games, compared with the league average at home and away, give the expected goals; a Poisson distribution turns them into the chances above. It knows nothing about injuries, team news or motivation.
More model pages: correct score predictions · accumulator of the day
Corners and cards
| Per game (last league games) | Santa Clara | Gil Vicente |
|---|---|---|
| Corners won | 3.7 | 3.1 |
| Corners conceded | 5.0 | 4.9 |
| Total corners in their games | 8.7 | 8.0 |
| Cards received (yellow and red) | 3.1 | 2.0 |
| Total cards in their games | 5.8 | 4.0 |
Corners and cards of the last 10 league games of Santa Clara and the last 10 of Gil Vicente.
Our pick for this match
Our pick for this match is on the free Telegram channel, posted before kickoff. The model above is only the numbers; our tipsters add team news and the price.
Get our pick on TelegramHead to head
- Mar 21, 2026: Santa Clara 1-0 Gil Vicente
- Nov 3, 2025: Gil Vicente 1-0 Santa Clara
- Mar 15, 2025: Gil Vicente 0-1 Santa Clara
- Oct 25, 2024: Santa Clara 2-1 Gil Vicente
Liga Portugal table
Santa Clara are 4 of 18 with 21 points from 10 games; Gil Vicente are 7 of 18 with 15 points from 10 games.
About this preview
Results and match statistics: football-data.co.uk, league games only. Figures are before kickoff and update automatically. Tips are opinions, not guarantees. 21+ (18+ where the legal age is 18). Markets explained: both teams to score · over 2.5 goals · match winner. Full record: all results.
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