Queretaro vs Puebla prediction, odds & stats
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Match: Queretaro vs Puebla, Liga MX
Kickoff: Sunday, November 8, 2026, 7:00 PM ET (4:00 PM PT)
Market view: Queretaro 51% · draw 25% · Puebla 24% (average odds 1.78 / 3.65 / 3.88, margin removed)
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Final score: Queretaro 0-2 Puebla
Form (last 5): Queretaro WLLLL · Puebla DDLLL
Get the tip on TelegramForm and goals
| Last league games | Queretaro | Puebla |
|---|---|---|
| Form (last 5, oldest first) | WLLLL | DDLLL |
| Goals scored per game (last 10 / 10) | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| Both teams scored | 6 of 10 | 5 of 10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 6 of 10 | 3 of 10 |
| Clean sheets | 3 of 10 | 2 of 10 |
Queretaro at home this season: played 6, won 2, drew 1, lost 3, goals 8-9. Puebla away: played 8, won 3, drew 1, lost 4, goals 9-11.
What the numbers say
- Queretaro average 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded over their last 10 league games; Puebla average 0.8 and 1.6 over their last 10.
- Both teams scored in 6 of Queretaro’s last 10 and in 5 of Puebla’s last 10; over 2.5 goals landed in 6 and 3 of those games.
- In their last 4 meetings in our data, both teams scored 3 times and 3 had over 2.5 goals.
Model estimate
Our statistical model expects 1.6 goals for Queretaro and 1.1 for Puebla. These are model estimates, not our pick.
| Outcome | Model estimate |
|---|---|
| Queretaro win | 51% |
| Draw | 25% |
| Puebla win | 25% |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12%) |
| Next most likely scores | 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%) |
How the model works: each team’s goals scored and conceded in its last league games, compared with the league average at home and away, give the expected goals; a Poisson distribution turns them into the chances above. It knows nothing about injuries, team news or motivation.
More model pages: correct score predictions · accumulator of the day
Our pick for this match
Our pick for this match is on the free Telegram channel, posted before kickoff. The model above is only the numbers; our tipsters add team news and the price.
Get our pick on TelegramHead to head
- Apr 25, 2026: Puebla 1-2 Queretaro
- Oct 5, 2025: Queretaro 3-1 Puebla
- Mar 2, 2025: Queretaro 2-0 Puebla
- Sep 14, 2024: Puebla 2-1 Queretaro
Liga MX table
Queretaro are 12 of 18 with 20 points from 14 games; Puebla are 14 of 18 with 16 points from 15 games.
About this preview
Results and match statistics: football-data.co.uk, league games only. Figures are before kickoff and update automatically. Tips are opinions, not guarantees. 21+ (18+ where the legal age is 18). Markets explained: both teams to score · over 2.5 goals · match winner. Full record: all results.
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