Le Mans vs Monaco prediction, odds & stats
Kickoff 11:15 AM ET (8:15 AM PT). The Winner364 tip is posted on Telegram before kickoff; VIP members see every pick.
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Match: Le Mans vs Monaco, Ligue 1
Kickoff: Sunday, November 8, 2026, 11:15 AM ET (8:15 AM PT)
Market view: Le Mans 22% · draw 23% · Monaco 55% (average odds 4.25 / 3.99 / 1.71, margin removed)
Winner364 pick: our picks are posted on Telegram before kickoff. Get our pick on Telegram
Final score: Le Mans 1-1 Monaco
Form (last 5): Le Mans WLLDL · Monaco WDLDL
Get the tip on TelegramForm and goals
| Last league games | Le Mans | Monaco |
|---|---|---|
| Form (last 5, oldest first) | WLLDL | WDLDL |
| Goals scored per game (last 9 / 10) | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded per game | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| Both teams scored | 7 of 9 | 7 of 10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 6 of 9 | 5 of 10 |
| Clean sheets | 0 of 9 | 2 of 10 |
| xG for / against per game | 1.37 / 2.05 | 1.18 / 1.36 |
Le Mans at home this season: played 4, won 1, drew 2, lost 1, goals 6-8. Monaco away: played 5, won 2, drew 1, lost 2, goals 5-6.
What the numbers say
- Le Mans average 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over their last 9 league games; Monaco average 1.6 and 1.5 over their last 10.
- Both teams scored in 7 of Le Mans’s last 9 and in 7 of Monaco’s last 10; over 2.5 goals landed in 6 and 5 of those games.
- Expected goals (xG) per game: Le Mans 1.37 for and 2.05 against; Monaco 1.18 for and 1.36 against.
Model estimate
Our statistical model expects 1.5 goals for Le Mans and 1.6 for Monaco. These are model estimates, not our pick.
| Outcome | Model estimate |
|---|---|
| Le Mans win | 35% |
| Draw | 24% |
| Monaco win | 41% |
| Both teams to score | 63% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11%) |
| Next most likely scores | 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%) |
How the model works: each team’s goals scored and conceded in its last league games, compared with the league average at home and away, give the expected goals; a Poisson distribution turns them into the chances above. It knows nothing about injuries, team news or motivation.
More model pages: correct score predictions · accumulator of the day
Corners and cards
| Per game (last league games) | Le Mans | Monaco |
|---|---|---|
| Corners won | 2.4 | 4.0 |
| Corners conceded | 5.8 | 4.5 |
| Total corners in their games | 8.2 | 8.5 |
| Cards received (yellow and red) | 2.7 | 2.2 |
| Total cards in their games | 4.6 | 4.0 |
Corners and cards of the last 9 league games of Le Mans and the last 10 of Monaco.
Our pick for this match
Our pick for this match is on the free Telegram channel, posted before kickoff. The model above is only the numbers; our tipsters add team news and the price.
Get our pick on TelegramLigue 1 table
Le Mans are 17 of 18 with 7 points from 9 games; Monaco are 7 of 18 with 15 points from 9 games.
About this preview
Results and match statistics: football-data.co.uk, league games only. Figures are before kickoff and update automatically. Tips are opinions, not guarantees. 21+ (18+ where the legal age is 18). Markets explained: both teams to score · over 2.5 goals · match winner. Full record: all results.
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