Inter Milan vs Como prediction, odds & stats
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Match: Inter Milan vs Como, Serie A
Kickoff: Sunday, November 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET (9:00 AM PT)
Market view: Inter Milan 50% · draw 23% · Como 26% (average odds 1.86 / 4.01 / 3.58, margin removed)
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Final score: Inter Milan 2-0 Como
Form (last 5): Inter Milan WWWWL · Como DWWWW
Get the tip on TelegramForm and goals
| Last league games | Inter Milan | Como |
|---|---|---|
| Form (last 5, oldest first) | WWWWL | DWWWW |
| Goals scored per game (last 10 / 10) | 2.6 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| Both teams scored | 7 of 10 | 6 of 10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 8 of 10 | 5 of 10 |
| Clean sheets | 3 of 10 | 3 of 10 |
| xG for / against per game | 2.70 / 1.06 | 1.86 / 1.25 |
Inter Milan at home this season: played 5, won 5, drew 0, lost 0, goals 17-7. Como away: played 6, won 4, drew 1, lost 1, goals 13-7.
What the numbers say
- Inter Milan average 2.6 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over their last 10 league games; Como average 1.8 and 0.8 over their last 10.
- Both teams scored in 7 of Inter Milan’s last 10 and in 6 of Como’s last 10; over 2.5 goals landed in 8 and 5 of those games.
- Expected goals (xG) per game: Inter Milan 2.70 for and 1.06 against; Como 1.86 for and 1.25 against.
- In their last 4 meetings in our data, both teams scored 1 times and 2 had over 2.5 goals.
Model estimate
Our statistical model expects 1.6 goals for Inter Milan and 1.5 for Como. These are model estimates, not our pick.
| Outcome | Model estimate |
|---|---|
| Inter Milan win | 39% |
| Draw | 24% |
| Como win | 37% |
| Both teams to score | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11%) |
| Next most likely scores | 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%) |
How the model works: each team’s goals scored and conceded in its last league games, compared with the league average at home and away, give the expected goals; a Poisson distribution turns them into the chances above. It knows nothing about injuries, team news or motivation.
More model pages: correct score predictions · accumulator of the day
Corners and cards
| Per game (last league games) | Inter Milan | Como |
|---|---|---|
| Corners won | 6.3 | 7.1 |
| Corners conceded | 3.1 | 4.2 |
| Total corners in their games | 9.4 | 11.3 |
| Cards received (yellow and red) | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Total cards in their games | 3.3 | 3.2 |
Corners and cards of the last 10 league games of Inter Milan and the last 10 of Como.
Our pick for this match
Our pick for this match is on the free Telegram channel, posted before kickoff. The model above is only the numbers; our tipsters add team news and the price.
Get our pick on TelegramHead to head
- Apr 12, 2026: Como 3-4 Inter
- Dec 6, 2025: Inter 4-0 Como
- May 23, 2025: Como 0-2 Inter
- Dec 23, 2024: Inter 2-0 Como
Serie A table
Inter Milan are 3 of 20 with 25 points from 10 games; Como are 4 of 20 with 23 points from 10 games.
About this preview
Results and match statistics: football-data.co.uk, league games only. Figures are before kickoff and update automatically. Tips are opinions, not guarantees. 21+ (18+ where the legal age is 18). Markets explained: both teams to score · over 2.5 goals · match winner. Full record: all results.
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