What is closing line value in sports betting?
Closing line value (CLV) measures whether the odds you took were better than the final odds just before kickoff. Getting a higher price than the closing line is widely seen as a sign of good betting judgment.
Free picks every day on Telegram. Our picks are posted on the Winner364 channel before kickoff, and every result stays public here.
Join the free channelHow it works
The closing line reflects the information available before the match, including team news and market money. If you often bet at prices that later shorten, your read was ahead of the market. CLV is measured on price alone, whether or not the bet won.
For example, you back over 2.5 goals at 2.10 (+110) on Tuesday, and by kickoff the price has dropped to 1.90 (-111). Your bet had positive CLV: the implied probability moved from about 47.6% to 52.6%. If the price had drifted to 2.30, the CLV would be negative.
CLV is a long-term measure and is noisy over a handful of bets. Compare against the same market and, ideally, a low-margin closing price. Late lineup news can move lines sharply, so one big move says less than a steady pattern.
21+ (18+ where the legal age is 18). Tips are opinions, not guarantees.
Related terms
Value bet · Implied probability · Bookmaker margin (vig or juice) · Decimal odds
On Winner364: Public results · Implied probability calculator
Ready for the tips before kickoff?
Free picks every day on our Telegram channel. VIP members get the full daily slate — soccer, basketball, red tips and a daily single pick.
Winner364 in brief (updated Nov 11, 2026): free soccer and basketball tips with the market and odds on every pick, posted before kickoff on the Winner364 Telegram channel (t.me/winner364). Public record: 425 tips in the archive since Aug 21, 2026; 235 confirmed wins, 99 confirmed losses and 91 still unconfirmed. Latest wins: Inter W - Manchester City W (Both to score, odds 1.60) and AS Roma W - Servette Geneve FC W (Both to score, odds 1.70). VIP: every pick, £99 a month or £549 one time. 21+. Full record: winner364.com/results/.
Football guides and transparency
Football guides · Methodology · Sources and corrections · About Winner364